Boise State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
4  Allie Ostrander SO 19:06
62  Minttu Hukka SR 19:46
88  Emily Venters FR 19:54
121  Clare O'Brien SO 20:02
156  Anna McDonald SR 20:09
186  Alexis Fuller JR 20:13
215  Kyra Lopez SO 20:18
229  Grace McConnochie SR 20:21
410  Sadi Henderson JR 20:42
National Rank #7 of 348
West Region Rank #4 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 99.8%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Nationals


National Champion 0.6%
Top 5 at Nationals 20.3%
Top 10 at Nationals 72.2%
Top 20 at Nationals 97.8%


Regional Champion 2.4%
Top 5 in Regional 96.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Allie Ostrander Minttu Hukka Emily Venters Clare O'Brien Anna McDonald Alexis Fuller Kyra Lopez Grace McConnochie Sadi Henderson
Charles Bowles Willamette Invitational 09/30 1297
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 304 19:16 19:50 20:07 19:53 20:13 20:05 20:22 20:04
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 314 19:13 19:45 20:05 20:02 20:07 21:02 20:26
Mountain West Championship 10/27 215 19:05 19:35 19:31 20:20 20:03 20:15 20:14 19:56 20:47
West Region Championships 11/10 280 18:56 19:42 19:51 20:01 20:11 20:15 20:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 99.8% 8.9 305 0.6 1.4 2.9 6.2 9.3 11.6 12.4 11.6 9.7 6.7 6.2 4.0 3.5 2.8 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 3.7 116 2.4 9.0 26.4 43.0 15.8 3.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allie Ostrander 100% 8.0 3.4 5.5 7.4 7.0 7.6 7.2 5.8 6.4 5.6 4.6 3.6 3.3 3.7 3.7 2.3 2.6 2.0 2.0 1.4 1.8 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.8
Minttu Hukka 99.8% 65.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.7
Emily Venters 99.8% 89.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2
Clare O'Brien 99.8% 109.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Anna McDonald 99.8% 132.9 0.1
Alexis Fuller 99.8% 146.2 0.1
Kyra Lopez 99.8% 157.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Allie Ostrander 3.0 14.7 19.0 16.6 12.3 11.2 6.7 4.9 3.8 3.7 1.8 1.4 1.2 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Minttu Hukka 19.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.5 3.6 2.8 5.0 4.7 4.1 5.1 4.2 5.5 5.6 3.9 4.5 4.8 4.3 3.8 2.7
Emily Venters 24.7 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.4 1.8 3.4 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.0 4.4 4.1 3.8 4.0 4.2
Clare O'Brien 31.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.5 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.1 2.0 2.8 3.0 2.6 2.7 3.7
Anna McDonald 36.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.9 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0
Alexis Fuller 41.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.2 1.3 1.3
Kyra Lopez 44.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.4% 100.0% 2.4 2.4 1
2 9.0% 100.0% 9.0 9.0 2
3 26.4% 100.0% 22.3 2.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 26.4 3
4 43.0% 100.0% 13.9 13.6 8.9 4.1 1.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 43.0 4
5 15.8% 99.7% 2.8 4.9 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 15.7 5
6 3.5% 97.1% 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.4 6
7 0.1% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 99.8% 2.4 9.0 22.3 16.8 17.2 14.2 8.2 4.1 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 11.4 88.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Minnesota 99.9% 2.0 2.0
Stanford 99.8% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Furman 97.9% 2.0 2.0
Wisconsin 96.1% 2.0 1.9
Washington 96.0% 1.0 1.0
Providence 95.8% 1.0 1.0
Michigan State 90.4% 1.0 0.9
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Indiana 42.4% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Samford 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
West Virginia 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Auburn 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Total 15.7
Minimum 10.0
Maximum 21.0